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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$279.89
Intrinsic $373.19 · 25% MOS
Current price: $93.87
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Addus HomeCare Corp (ADUS) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 31.6% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $137M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $373.19 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $279.89, suggesting the stock is currently 198% undervalued against the $93.87 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$137M
Cash & equivalents
$103M
Total debt
$139M
Shares outstanding
18M