Intrinsiqq
STAG Industrial, Inc. logoSTAG Industrial, Inc.STAG
$36.46-0.36%
STAG Industrial, Inc. logo

STAG Industrial, Inc.

STAG

$36.46

-$0.13 (-0.36%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilityStrong marginsGrowthSteady growthCash FlowStrong conversionValuationNot cheap
What stands out

37.50% operating margin is above average. ROIC at 3.73%. Note that capital returns lag the margin, the business may be capital-intensive despite high margins.

What's changing

Revenue up 10.1% YoY with margins expanding 3.2pp. However, free cash flow softened 16%, worth monitoring whether this is timing or structural.

What deserves caution

At 28x earnings, the current multiple leaves limited room for execution misses or growth deceleration. Free cash flow declined 16% versus the prior year, cash generation momentum has weakened.

Valuation context

28.1x earnings, 25.3x FCF. Not cheap, the quality is already reflected in the price. Upside from here requires either margin expansion or growth re-acceleration, not just continuation.

Price History

-5.4%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market Cap$7.03B
EPS$1.30
P/E28.13
P/FCF25.31
EV/EBITDA16.20
FCF Yield4.0%
Div. Yield3.38%
Net Debt/FCF11.6x
52-Week Range
$35.28$41.68

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

$864M

▲ +10.1% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

$244M

▲ +44.6% YoY

Op. Margin

37.84%

▲ +3.2pp YoY

ROIC

3.85%

▲ +0.4pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (TTM)

$278M

▼ -16.5% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

$477M

▲ +0.7% YoY

Net Debt

$3.23B

Cash & Equiv.

$9M

5Y CAGR: +11.8%

5Y CAGR: +1.7%

Continue Research

SourceComputed from the 10-Q filed 28 Apr 2026, covering the period ending 31 Mar 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 29 Jul 2026. How this is calculated.

Price from market data, last close as of 21 Oct 2026. Fiscal year ends Dec. Sector medians are approximate S&P 500 benchmarks and update periodically.

Is STAG Industrial (STAG) overvalued?

At a P/E of 28.1 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 25.3, STAG Industrial (STAG) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $8.27 per share, so at $36.46 the stock looks overvalued (77.3% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, STAG Industrial scores 74/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a solid business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. It currently yields about 3.4%; see dividend safety for coverage and history. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is STAG Industrial's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $8.27 per share for STAG, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $6.20. At today's $36.46, that puts the stock about 77.3% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is STAG Industrial a high-quality business?+

STAG Industrial scores 74 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a solid business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 37.8% operating margin and a 3.9% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Does STAG Industrial (STAG) pay a dividend, and how much?+

Yes, STAG Industrial pays a regular dividend of about $1.24 per share per year (typically in quarterly installments), a yield of roughly 3.4% at the current price. That is a payout ratio of about 97.2% of earnings, so the dividend is stretched at this level. STAG Industrial has grown the dividend at roughly 3.7% a year over the past few years. A low headline yield is not the same as a weak dividend: what matters is how well earnings and free cash flow cover the payout and whether it is growing, not the percentage alone. For STAG's full payout history, growth streak and dividend-safety score, see the dividends tab.

Is STAG Industrial a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. STAG currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 74/100 on quality (solid). It also yields about 3.4%. A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.

Related stocks: Real Estate Investment Trusts

Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in STAG's SEC filings or

Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.