Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
Posti Group Oyj is Finland's leading postal and logistics service provider with a history spanning nearly 400 years, originating from postal services established in 1638. As the primary operator for mail and parcel delivery across Finland, it fulfills a universal service obligation, ensuring weekday letter deliveries to all municipalities while serving businesses and organizations that account for 96% of its net sales of EUR 1,521 million in 2024. The company operates through key segments including Postal Services for letters, publications, and direct mail; Parcel and Logistics Services encompassing e-commerce, transport, warehousing, freight, and customs clearance; and additional offerings like digital communication via Digipost and circular economy solutions. With around 20,300 employees and headquarters in Helsinki, Posti extends its reach to ten countries including Sweden, Norway, the Baltic states, Poland, Germany, Switzerland, and the United States, supported by over 1,400 service points and SmartPOST parcel terminals. Majority-owned by the Finnish state at 66.65%, Posti Group Oyj plays a pivotal role in the logistics sector, emphasizing sustainable practices such as carbon-neutral deliveries and fossil-free operations by 2030.
€9.48
€0.10 (-1.04%)
EOD Jul 2, 2026
Operating margin is thin at 3.52%. Limited cushion if revenue slows or costs rise, not the profile of a wide-moat business.
Revenue declined 4.9% YoY. The question is whether this is cyclical or a structural shift.
Free cash flow declined 45% versus the prior year, cash generation momentum has weakened. ROIC dropped from 7.39% to 4.47%, capital efficiency is deteriorating.
16.1x earnings, 9.7x FCF. Valuation is in a reasonable range. The main question is whether the business can re-accelerate or if current trajectory is already priced in.
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (FY)
€1.45B
▼ -4.9% YoY
Net Income (FY)
€24M
▼ -46.3% YoY
Op. Margin
3.52%
▼ -0.7pp YoY
ROIC
4.47%
▼ -2.9pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (FY)
€38M
▼ -44.5% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (FY)
€96M
▲ +33.4% YoY
Net Debt
€524M
Cash & Equiv.
€49M
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At a P/E of 16.1 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 9.7, Posti Group Oyj (POSTI.XHEL) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about €3.59 per share, so at €9.48 the stock looks overvalued (62.1% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, Posti Group Oyj scores 35/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a lower-quality business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. It currently yields about 49.0%; see dividend safety for coverage and history. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about €3.59 per share for POSTI.XHEL, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around €2.69. At today's €9.48, that puts the stock about 62.1% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
Posti Group Oyj scores 35 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a lower-quality business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 3.5% operating margin and a 4.5% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
Yes, Posti Group Oyj pays a regular dividend of about €4.65 per share per year (typically in quarterly installments), a yield of roughly 49.0% at the current price. Posti Group Oyj has grown the dividend at roughly 475.5% a year over the past few years. A low headline yield is not the same as a weak dividend: what matters is how well earnings and free cash flow cover the payout and whether it is growing, not the percentage alone. For POSTI.XHEL's full payout history, growth streak and dividend-safety score, see the dividends tab.
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. POSTI.XHEL currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 35/100 on quality (lower-quality). It also yields about 49.0%. A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.