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Commercial printing company · DE · FY ends Dec · Revenue $568M · 10.09% margin · $51M FCF
$19.15
+$0.34 (+1.81%)
Live · 05:20 PM
10.09% operating margin is respectable but not wide. ROIC at 14.79%. Suggests the business covers its cost of capital, but doesn't point to a wide moat.
Revenue grew 13.1%, still solid. Margins contracted 3.0pp, which offsets some of the top-line progress.
ROIC dropped from 18.81% to 14.79%, capital efficiency is deteriorating. Net debt of $316M represents 7.6x FCF, leverage limits flexibility.
18.8x earnings, 4.4x FCF. Valuation is in a reasonable range. The main question is whether the business can re-accelerate or if current trajectory is already priced in.
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$568M
▲ +13.1% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
$12M
▼ -23.4% YoY
Op. Margin
10.09%
▼ -3.0pp YoY
ROIC
14.79%
▼ -4.0pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (TTM)
$51M
▲ +21.4% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
$68M
▲ +37.4% YoY
Net Debt
$258M
Cash & Equiv.
$19M
5Y CAGR: +11.7%
5Y CAGR: +22.5%
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At a P/E of 18.8 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 4.4, CPI Card Group (PMTS) trades below a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $196.12 per share, so at $19.15 the stock looks undervalued (924.1% below estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, CPI Card Group scores 59/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a mixed business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $196.12 per share for PMTS, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $147.09. At today's $19.15, that puts the stock about 924.1% below estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
CPI Card Group scores 59 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a mixed business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 10.1% operating margin and a 14.8% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. PMTS currently trades below its estimated intrinsic value and scores 59/100 on quality (mixed). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.