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Crude petroleum & natural gas company · DE · FY ends Dec · Revenue $1.23B · 14.87% margin · $535M FCF
$13.15
+$0.22 (+1.70%)
EOD Jul 17, 2026
20.84% operating margin is above average.
Revenue grew 21.2%, still solid. Margins contracted 9.2pp, which offsets some of the top-line progress.
Operating margin contracted 9.2pp YoY, cost discipline may be slipping.
17.8x earnings, 4.1x FCF. Valuation is in a reasonable range. The main question is whether the business can re-accelerate or if current trajectory is already priced in.
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$1.23B
▲ +21.2% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
$92M
▼ -22.8% YoY
Op. Margin
14.87%
▼ -9.2pp YoY
ROIC
—
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (TTM)
$535M
▲ +0.9% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
$535M
▲ +0.3% YoY
Net Debt
$1.10B
Cash & Equiv.
$53M
3Y CAGR: +7.8%
3Y CAGR: -2.9%
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At a P/E of 17.8 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 4.1, Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) trades below a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $153.83 per share, so at $13.15 the stock looks undervalued (1,069.8% below estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, Mach Natural Resources LP scores 35/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a lower-quality business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. It currently yields about 12.4%; see dividend safety for coverage and history. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $153.83 per share for MNR, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $115.37. At today's $13.15, that puts the stock about 1,069.8% below estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
Mach Natural Resources LP scores 35 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 7 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a lower-quality business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 14.9% operating margin. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
Yes, Mach Natural Resources LP pays a regular dividend of about $1.63 per share per year (typically in quarterly installments), a yield of roughly 12.4% at the current price. That is a payout ratio of about 298.1% of earnings, so the dividend is stretched at this level. A low headline yield is not the same as a weak dividend: what matters is how well earnings and free cash flow cover the payout and whether it is growing, not the percentage alone. For MNR's full payout history, growth streak and dividend-safety score, see the dividends tab.
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. MNR currently trades below its estimated intrinsic value and scores 35/100 on quality (lower-quality). It also yields about 12.4%. A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.