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Not financial advice. Analytical data for research only.
Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.
Hongli Group Inc. specializes in developing and manufacturing industrial equipment components. Its primary function is to supply essential parts that facilitate various industrial applications, contributing significantly to the industrial sector. The company’s product portfolio encompasses items like steel pipes and metalwork used in construction, automotive, and heavy machinery sectors. Hongli Group Inc.'s expertise lies in precision manufacturing and the reliable delivery of high-quality industrial materials, ensuring safety and efficiency in industrial operations. This company plays a pivotal role in supporting infrastructure projects and industries that require robust and durable components. Founded in [founding year], Hongli Group has established itself within global supply chains, ensuring that it remains a crucial player in facilitating advancements and maintaining operations across diverse industrial platforms. Its commitment to innovation and quality underscores its importance in the financial market, as it continues to adapt to evolving industry standards and technological advancements.
$1.38
+$0.01 (+0.73%)
EOD Sep 1, 2026
12.41% operating margin is respectable but not wide. ROIC at 3.29%. Suggests the business covers its cost of capital, but doesn't point to a wide moat.
Revenue up 39.0% YoY with margins expanding 23.6pp.
At 46x earnings, the current multiple leaves limited room for execution misses or growth deceleration. Net debt of $10M represents 14.7x FCF, leverage limits flexibility.
46.0x earnings, 135.2x FCF. The market is pricing in years of above-average growth. If that thesis breaks, downside from multiple compression alone could be 30%+. This is a stock where you're paying for the future, not the present.
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$20M
▲ +39.0% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
$2M
▲ +203.3% YoY
Op. Margin
12.41%
▲ +23.6pp YoY
ROIC
3.29%
▲ +6.0pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (TTM)
$661K
▲ +248.0% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
$837K
▲ +222.2% YoY
Net Debt
$10M
Cash & Equiv.
$2M
3Y CAGR: -1.1%
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At a P/E of 46.0 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 135.2, Hongli Group (HLP) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $0.37 per share, so at $1.38 the stock looks overvalued (73.5% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, Hongli Group scores 28/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a lower-quality business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $0.37 per share for HLP, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $0.27. At today's $1.38, that puts the stock about 73.5% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
Hongli Group scores 28 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a lower-quality business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 12.4% operating margin and a 3.3% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. HLP currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 28/100 on quality (lower-quality). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.