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Management s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations of this Annual Report Any factor could, by itself, or together with one or more other factors, adversely affect our business, results of operations, plans, objectives, future performance, or financial condition. Other factors not described in this Annual Report also could cause results to differ from our expec…
$68.75
$1.57 (-2.23%)
Live · 05:23 PM
22.53% operating margin is above average. ROIC at 3.50%. Note that capital returns lag the margin, the business may be capital-intensive despite high margins.
Revenue declined 16.0% YoY. Margins deteriorated 9.4pp alongside, both lines moving the wrong way.
At 32x earnings, the current multiple leaves limited room for execution misses or growth deceleration. ROIC dropped from 5.90% to 3.50%, capital efficiency is deteriorating.
32.1x earnings, 9.9x FCF. Not cheap, the quality is already reflected in the price. Upside from here requires either margin expansion or growth re-acceleration, not just continuation.
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$1.51B
▼ -16.0% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
$122M
▼ -37.3% YoY
Op. Margin
22.94%
▼ -9.4pp YoY
ROIC
6.15%
▼ -2.4pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (TTM)
$412M
▲ +19.8% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
$458M
▲ +16.6% YoY
Net Debt
-$1.83B
Net Cash Position
Cash & Equiv.
$1.84B
3Y CAGR: -0.4%
3Y CAGR: +14.0%
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At a P/E of 32.1 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 9.9, Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) trades below a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $225.19 per share, so at $68.75 the stock looks undervalued (227.6% below estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, Howard Hughes Holdings scores 40/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a mixed business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $225.19 per share for HHH, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $168.90. At today's $68.75, that puts the stock about 227.6% below estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
Howard Hughes Holdings scores 40 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 7 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a mixed business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 22.9% operating margin and a 6.1% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. HHH currently trades below its estimated intrinsic value and scores 40/100 on quality (mixed). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.