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Our estimated total black lung liabilities as of December 31, 2025 were $36.1 million (net of the black lung trust). In future years, the DOL could require us to increase the amount of the collateral which could negatively impact our cash flows.
$78.91
$1.53 (-1.90%)
EOD Jul 17, 2026
Operating margin is thin at 3.49%. Limited cushion if revenue slows or costs rise, not the profile of a wide-moat business.
Revenue declined 14.1% YoY. Margins deteriorated 13.2pp alongside, both lines moving the wrong way.
At 73x earnings, the current multiple leaves limited room for execution misses or growth deceleration. ROIC dropped from 10.29% to 1.56%, capital efficiency is deteriorating.
73.1x earnings. The market is pricing in years of above-average growth. If that thesis breaks, downside from multiple compression alone could be 30%+. This is a stock where you're paying for the future, not the present.
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$1.31B
▼ -14.1% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
$57M
▼ -77.3% YoY
Op. Margin
3.49%
▼ -13.2pp YoY
ROIC
1.56%
▼ -8.7pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (TTM)
-$91M
▼ -1.4% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
$229M
▼ -37.6% YoY
Net Debt
-$115M
Net Cash Position
Cash & Equiv.
$353M
5Y CAGR: +10.8%
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At a P/E of 73.1, Warrior Met Coal (HCC)'s valuation is best read against its own history, its peers, and the growth its price implies. A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, Warrior Met Coal scores 20/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a lower-quality business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. It currently yields about 0.4%; see dividend safety for coverage and history. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Warrior Met Coal scores 20 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 7 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a lower-quality business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 3.5% operating margin and a 1.6% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
Yes, Warrior Met Coal pays a regular dividend of about $0.34 per share per year (typically in quarterly installments), a yield of roughly 0.4% at the current price. That is a payout ratio of about 31.3% of earnings, so the dividend is amply covered by earnings. Warrior Met Coal has grown the dividend at roughly 14.3% a year over the past few years. A low headline yield is not the same as a weak dividend: what matters is how well earnings and free cash flow cover the payout and whether it is growing, not the percentage alone. For HCC's full payout history, growth streak and dividend-safety score, see the dividends tab.
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. you should weigh HCC's valuation and scores 20/100 on quality (lower-quality). It also yields about 0.4%. A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.