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Evolution Petroleum Corporation ( Evolution, and together with its consolidated subsidiaries, the Company , our , we, us or similar terms) is an independent energy company focused on maximizing total returns to its shareholders through the ownership of and investment in onshore oil and natural gas properties in the United States. Our long-term goal is to maximize total shareholder return from a…
$3.81
+$0.01 (+0.26%)
EOD Jul 17, 2026
Operating margin is thin at 4.86%. Limited cushion if revenue slows or costs rise, not the profile of a wide-moat business.
Revenue declined 0.0% YoY. Margins deteriorated 4.3pp alongside, both lines moving the wrong way.
ROIC dropped from 7.48% to 4.93%, capital efficiency is deteriorating. Operating margin contracted 4.3pp YoY, cost discipline may be slipping.
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$83M
Net Income (TTM)
-$4M
▼ -63.9% YoY
Op. Margin
1.63%
▼ -4.3pp YoY
ROIC
1.60%
▼ -2.5pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (TTM)
$27M
▲ +45.4% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
$27M
▲ +45.4% YoY
Net Debt
-$2M
Net Cash Position
Cash & Equiv.
$3M
5Y CAGR: +23.7%
5Y CAGR: +21.7%
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Evolution Petroleum (EPM) trades below a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $40.04 per share, so at $3.81 the stock looks undervalued (950.9% below estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, Evolution Petroleum scores 28/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a lower-quality business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. It currently yields about 12.8%; see dividend safety for coverage and history. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $40.04 per share for EPM, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $30.03. At today's $3.81, that puts the stock about 950.9% below estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
Evolution Petroleum scores 28 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 7 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a lower-quality business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 1.6% operating margin and a 1.6% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
Yes, Evolution Petroleum pays a regular dividend of about $0.49 per share per year (typically in quarterly installments), a yield of roughly 12.8% at the current price. Evolution Petroleum has grown the dividend at roughly 39.3% a year over the past few years. A low headline yield is not the same as a weak dividend: what matters is how well earnings and free cash flow cover the payout and whether it is growing, not the percentage alone. For EPM's full payout history, growth streak and dividend-safety score, see the dividends tab.
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. EPM currently trades below its estimated intrinsic value and scores 28/100 on quality (lower-quality). It also yields about 12.8%. A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.