Intrinsiqq
⚠ Showing the latest available close (Oct 21, 2026, 2 days ago). Our price provider hasn't published a newer EOD for this ticker yet. Price-dependent metrics (P/E, P/FCF, yield) may not reflect current market conditions.
Evolution Petroleum Corporation logoEvolution Petroleum CorporationEPM
$3.76+0.80%
Evolution Petroleum Corporation logo

Evolution Petroleum Corporation

EPM

$3.76

+$0.03 (+0.80%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilityThin marginsGrowthModeratingCash FlowStrong conversionValuationN/A
What stands out

Operating margin is thin at 4.03%. Limited cushion if revenue slows or costs rise, not the profile of a wide-moat business.

What's changing

Revenue growth slowed to 0.6%, essentially flat. This is a business that needs a catalyst.

What deserves caution

Free cash flow declined 29% versus the prior year, cash generation momentum has weakened.

Price History

-15.9%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market Cap$151M
EPS-$0.08
P/E-47.00
P/FCF6.42
EV/EBITDA5.54
FCF Yield15.6%
Div. Yield11.22%
Net Debt/FCF-0.2x
52-Week Range
$3.22$4.95

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

$86M

▲ +0.6% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

-$2M

▼ -264.9% YoY

Op. Margin

4.03%

▼ -0.8pp YoY

ROIC

4.14%

▼ -0.8pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (TTM)

$24M

▼ -28.8% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

$24M

▼ -28.8% YoY

Net Debt

-$6M

Net Cash Position

Cash & Equiv.

$6M

5Y CAGR: +21.4%

5Y CAGR: +37.8%

Continue Research

SourceComputed from the 10-Q filed 11 Sept 2026, covering the period ending 30 Jun 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 14 Oct 2026. How this is calculated.

Price from market data, last close as of 21 Oct 2026. Fiscal year ends Jun. Sector medians are approximate S&P 500 benchmarks and update periodically.

Is Evolution Petroleum (EPM) overvalued?

Evolution Petroleum (EPM) trades below a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $12.07 per share, so at $3.76 the stock looks undervalued (220.9% below estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, Evolution Petroleum scores 28/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a lower-quality business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. It currently yields about 11.2%; see dividend safety for coverage and history. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Evolution Petroleum's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $12.07 per share for EPM, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $9.05. At today's $3.76, that puts the stock about 220.9% below estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is Evolution Petroleum a high-quality business?+

Evolution Petroleum scores 28 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 7 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a lower-quality business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 4.0% operating margin and a 4.1% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Does Evolution Petroleum (EPM) pay a dividend, and how much?+

Yes, Evolution Petroleum pays a regular dividend of about $0.49 per share per year (typically in quarterly installments), a yield of roughly 11.2% at the current price. Evolution Petroleum has grown the dividend at roughly 9.5% a year over the past few years. A low headline yield is not the same as a weak dividend: what matters is how well earnings and free cash flow cover the payout and whether it is growing, not the percentage alone. For EPM's full payout history, growth streak and dividend-safety score, see the dividends tab.

Is Evolution Petroleum a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. EPM currently trades below its estimated intrinsic value and scores 28/100 on quality (lower-quality). It also yields about 11.2%. A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.

Related stocks: Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in EPM's SEC filings or

Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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Not financial advice. Analytical data for research only.

Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.